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WRITES AND WRITE-NOTS

Thinking to write and writing by thinking is a core function of intelligent prople. Alarmingly, with the surge in artificial intelligence, AI, many smart people are taking the easy route and depending on AI to do their work, including critical thinking, This is a path to many losing their ability to think and produce original and creative work. With full attribution to Paul Graham, here is his article titled Writes and Write-Nots.

I’m usually reluctant to make predictions about technology, but I feel fairly confident about this one: in a couple of decades there won’t be many people who can write.

One of the strangest things you learn if you’re a writer is how many people have trouble writing. Doctors know how many people have a mole they’re worried about; people who are good at setting up computers know how many people aren’t; writers know how many people need help writing.

The reason so many people have trouble writing is that it’s fundamentally difficult. To write well, you have to think clerarly and thinking clearly is hard.

And yet writing prevades many jobs, and the more prestigious the job, the more writing it tends to require.

These two powerful opposing forces, the pervasive expectation of writing and the irreducible difficulty in doing it, create enormous pressure. This is why eminent professors often turn out to have resorted to plagiarism.

The most striking thing, to me, about these cases is the pettiness of the thefts. The stuff they steal is usually the most mundane boilerplate – the sort of thing that anyone who was even halfway decent at writing could turn out without any effort at all.

Which means they’re not even halfway decent at writing.

Till recently, there was no convenient escape valve for the pressure created by these opposing forces. You could pay someone to write for you, like JFK, or plagiarize, like MLK, but if you couldn’t buy or steal words, you had to write them yourself. And as a result nearly everyone who was expected to write had to learn how.

Not anymore. AI has blown this world open. Almost all pressure to write has dissapated. You can have AI do it for you, both in school and at work.

The result will be a world divided into writes and write-nots. There will still be people who can write. Some of us like it. But the middle ground between those who are good at writing and those who can’t write at all will disappear.

Instead of good writers, ok writers, and people who can’t write, there will just be these people who can write and people who can’t write.

Is that so bad? Isn’t it common for skills to disappear when technology makes them obsolete? There aren’t many blacksmiths left, and this doesn’t seem to be a problem.

Yes, it’s bad. The reason is something I mentioned earlier: writing is thinking. In fact, there’s a kind of thinking that can only be done by writing, If you’re thinking without writing, you only think you’re thinking.

So a world divided into writes and write-nots is more dangerous than it sounds. It will be a world of thinks and think-nots. I know which half I want to be in, and I bet you do too.

The situation is not unprecedented. In preindustrial times most people’s jobs made them stronger. Now if you want to be strong, you work out. So there are still strong people, but only those who choose to be.

It will be the same thing with writing. There will still be smart people, but only those who choose to be.

SHINRIN-YOKU AND PHYTONCIDES — BREATHING NATURE’S PREVENTATIVE AND HEALING COMPOUNDS

Fresh air and forests have a profound effect on us. There’s something therapeutic found in nature walks—especially through pristine and vibrant woods filled with inspiring sights, smells, sounds, tastes, and touches. The Japanese have a name for this. “Shinrin-yoku” which translates to “Breathing and taking in the wellness of a healthy forest atmosphere”. Millions simply call the practice “forest bathing”. Shinrin for forest, yoku for bath.

Phytoncides (Fye-Ton-Sides) are volatile organic compounds that healthy trees emit, or gas off. It’s the forest’s self-protection system at work, dealing with dangers like insects, fungi, and bacteria. When we forest bathe, we breathe in phytoncides which empirical evidence proves help our mood, better our sleep, lower our blood pressure, and boost our immune system. There’s even proof that phytoncides inhaled while forest bathing help to prevent, and possibly cure, cancer.

Preventing and curing cancer are bold statements. How can forest air possibly combat the demon of all illnesses that is cancer? We’ll get into that—how phytoncides from trees activate Natural Killer (NK) cells in our bodies—but first let’s look at the history of Shinrin-yoku and the chemical makeup of phytoncides.

Despite its enormous population of 126 million, this Japanese island complex of 146,000 square miles is still two-thirds covered with pristine forests. That’s 59,750,400 acres of treed greenspace, 27 times larger than Yellowstone Park. I’m not going to try to compute the volume of phytoncide off-gassing from Japan.

For centuries and generations, the Japanese have recognized the therapeutic properties of their forests. Although the phrase shinrin-yoku is relatively new, the benefits of walking through forests is ancient knowledge. Shinrin -yoku is based on three traditional concepts:

  • Yugen is about being so keenly aware of the beauty of the world around you that the deep emotions you feel can’t be expressed with words.
  • Komorebi literally translates to “sunlight leaking thought the trees.” It describes the relationship or interplay between the sun and the leaves.
  • Wabi sabi celebrates the beauty of imperfection and impermanence.

In 1982, concerned by the rapidly growing population and an expansion into greenspace, the Japanese Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, and Fisheries took a novel approach to protection. Dr. Tomohide Akiyama had been studying the health effects on humans who were repeatedly exposed to phytoncides from trees and was convinced of the significant benefits to the Japanese people if forest exposure were promoted.

Top: Japanese symbols for Shinrin-yoku. Lower: Japanese symbols for Phytoncides.

Dr. Akiyama saw promoting forest walks and nature sensing was a win-win for people’s health and tree protection. He, through the Ministry, began a campaign where Shinrin-yoku was a recognized health practice, and the term “forest bathing” was born. Today, Shinrin-yoku is a worldwide phenomenon helping millions of people improve their health. It’s especially popular in the Pacific Northwest of North America where I live in a temperate rainforest covered with phytoncide-producing conifers like cedar, spruce, fir, pine, hemlock, and balsam.

That’s not to say that deciduous trees like maple, alder, birch, oak, and a weird local thing called an arbutus don’t gas off. Same with grasses, shrubs, and plants of all types. That unmistakable scent from freshly cut grass? Phytoncides.

Phytoncides aren’t one single entity. They’re a variety of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) that include terpenes, aldehydes, and alcohols. The word originates from the Greek phyton meaning plant and cide meaning kill. In other words, natural antimicrobials designed by nature as medicine for the plants. Forest medicine, you could say.

Claims that practicing Shinrin-yoku and inhaling phytoncides have proven human health benefits are backed up by science. There have been many peer-reviewed papers presented on forest bathing and all come to the same conclusion. There is overwhelming evidence the claims are valid—claims of stress reduction, lowered hypertension, sleep improvement, mood alteration (for the better), immune protection, and the one assertion that leaves some folks skeptical. Shinrin-yoku and phytoncides reduce the risk of cancer and possibly even stop and reverse cancerous cells in the human body.

Here are a few studies supporting the claims.

1982 — Dr. Akiyama’s proposal to the Japanese government.

2009 — Effect of forest bathing trips on human immune function.

2019 — Comparative study of the physical and psychological effects of Shinrin-yoku.

2022 — Effects of Shinrin-yoku on health promotion and disease prevention.

The 2022 study headed by Dr. Qing Li has a fascinating and highly informative, 10-page downloadable pdf. If you’re at all interested in the science behind forest bathing, this paper is a must-read and it goes into the key function that phytoncides have on the immune system. That’s to build up Natural Killer (NK) cells that are the front-line warriors in the cancer battle.

Cells are the basic building blocks of all living organisms—you, me, and the trees. They’re the smallest units capable of performing life functions making cells the fundamental components of both structure and function in the human body and the trees’ trunks. And cancer is nothing more than cells running amuck and multiplying out of control.

Phytoncides, emitted by trees and plants, enter our body through our respiratory system and bond with our NK cells which are a type of lymphocyte or white blood cell that plays a critical role in our immune system. NKs are first responders against infection, disease, and cancerous tumors. They kill viruses and tumor cells without prior sensitization. In other words, NK cells stop cancerous cells in their tracks before they take hold and are recognized by sensory awareness.

Apoptosis and autophagy are two important biological processes. Apoptosis is the natural death of a cell so new ones can replace them. Autophagy is the recycling of cellular material. Cancer tumors won’t allow apoptosis or autophagy to occur. Left unchecked, malignant cancer cells continue to multiply until they kill their host.

Natural Killers are always present and on duty in our bodies. It’s just that they can’t do it all without a little help. That’s where phytoncides step in. They bond with NKs and increase production of granzymes, perfoin, and granulysin proteins which attack a tumor cell as soon as it occurs. This causes the cancer cell to apoptosis and all is well. See the image/flowchart below.

Speaking of Dr. Qing Li, he wrote the definitive book on Shinrin-yoku. It’s titled Forest Bathing: How Trees Can Help You Find Health and Happiness. This work examines Shinrin-yoku from a holistic vantage where the value in forest bathing is not just the phytoncide intake but the entire experience you get from exercising your five senses in a nature setting.

Another great book that touches on forest bathing is The Hidden Life of Trees written by the forester and environmentalist Peter Wohlleben. Mr. Wohlleben posits that the entire forest is interconnected by a “wood-wide web” where all the plants communicate with each other including a regulation of mutually beneficial phytoncide release.

If you’re a regular Dyingwords follower, you might wonder why today I’ve veered away from my usual crime/blood & guts topics and how I came upon something as obscure as forest bathing. To tell you the truth, when I first heard the term about a month ago, I thought it was some sort of hippy-dippy thing stemming from a new-age commune. So did my wife, Rita, when I brought up “forest bathing” while we were out rucking.

“Rucking?”, you ask. “What’s rucking?” Well, there’s nothing new-age or tree-hugging about rucking. It’s simply forest hiking with a weighted backpack (rucksack) and using trekking poles (walking sticks).

Rita and I live on Vancouver Island in British Columbia at Canada’s west coast. We’re surrounded by a pristine rainforest that’s nicely overcrowded with healthy trees. You know, the ones that off-gas phytoncides. And we’re avid ruckers, regularly putting on 8 thousand steps per day through the trees.

That’s a lot of phytoncides to suck in.

Something else I’ve taken up is roping. It’s not technical climbing as in mountains and rocks. It’s more of a low-impact pull, up and down steep hillsides, on a rope, while wearing a weighted pack. It’s incredible exercise, requiring every muscle in your body to participate.

Which brings me to yoga, meditation, and mindfulness. Forest bathing is often called a combination of the three with additional health benefits. While I’m not into yoga (I don’t like pina coladas either, however walks in the rain are inevitable when you ruck on Vancouver Island.), I’m in tune with meditation and mindfulness.

Rucking and roping are full-immersion courses on meditation and mindfulness. While rucking through the trees, your mind is free to go still, as in meditation under motion or zoning out. But when on the ropes, on a 40 to 60-degree slope, your mind must be completely in the moment. Mindfulness of your grip, your foot placement, and your balance are paramount to preventing a fall with potentially serious consequences.

So how do you get into this Shinrin-yoku/forest bathing gig? It’s simple. You don’t need the gear and the grind. It’s just finding a wooded area and going for a slow stroll, absorbing the sight, sound, smell, taste, and feel of nature. It’s okay to see the trees (and the forest), listen to the birds, sniff the needles and leaves, taste the air, and run your hands up and down some bark—all the while breathing phytoncides, nature’s preventitive and healing compounds.

And if you want to get serious about forest bathing, there are online courses as well as extensive events to take part in. One online course is hosted by a Swiss-founded organization called Treeming.org. It’s reasonably priced in the $125 to $250 range, depending on the depth of information you’d like.

A much more involved education in the art of Shinrin-yoku is held in England by the Forest Bathing Institute. It’s pricey. To become a fully accredited Shinrin-yoku master it’ll cost you $4,113.81 USD.

COMMUNICATING — 6 UNCONVENTIONAL NEW RULES FOR 2024

This piece is reproduced from Ted Gioia’s Honest Broker. The Dyingwords site gives full attribution to Ted Gioa and does not benefit in any way by sharing it.

Before they executed Socrates in the year 399 BC—on charges of impiety and corrupting youth—the philosopher was given a chance to defend himself before a jury. Socrates started his defense with an unusual plea. He told his listeners that he had no skill at making speeches. He just knew the everyday language of the common people.

Socrates explained that he had never studied rhetoric or oratory. He feared that he would embarrass himself by speaking so plainly in his trial defense. “I show myself to be not in the least a clever speaker,” Socrates told the jurors, “Unless indeed they call him a clever speaker who speaks the truth.”

He knew that others in his situation would give “speeches finely tricked out with words and phrases.” But Socrates only knew how to use “the same words with which I have been accustomed to speak” in the marketplace of Athens.

Socrates wasn’t exaggerating. His entire reputation was built on conversation. He never wrote a book—or anything else, as far as we can tell.

Spontaneous talking was the basis of his famous “Socratic method”—a simple back-and-forth dialogue. You might say it was the podcasting of its day. He aimed to speak plainly—seeking the truth through open and unfiltered conversation.

That might get you elected President in the year 2024. But it didn’t work very well in Athens, circa 400 BC. Socrates received the death penalty—and was executed by poisoning.

Is that shocking? Not really. Western culture was built on one-way communication. Leaders and experts speak—and the rest of us listen.

Socrates was the last major thinker to rely solely on conversation. After his death, his successors wrote books and gave lectures. That’s what powerful people do. They make decisions. They give orders. They deliver speeches.

But not anymore. In the aftermath of the election, the new wisdom is that giving speeches from a teleprompter doesn’t work in today’s culture. Citizens want their leaders to sit down and talk.

And not just in politics. You may have seen the same thing in your workplace—or in classrooms and other group settings. People now resist one-way orders from the top.

The word “scripted” is now an insult. Plainspoken dialogue is considered more trustworthy. This is part of the up-versus-down revolution I’ve written about elsewhere—a conflict that, I believe, may have even more impact on society than Left-versus-Right.

For better or worse, the hierarchies we’ve inherited from the past are toppling. To some extent, they are even reversing. The era of teleprompters and talking points has come to an end.

This is now impacting how leaders are expected to speak. Events of the last few days have raised awareness of this to a new level—but the ‘experts’ should have expected it. That’s especially true because the experts will be those most impacted by this shift.

Here are the six new rules of engagement—for politicians, broadcasters, and all aspiring experts, decision-makers, and leaders.

  1. You gain more trust when seated, not standing.
  2. Don’t speak at people—speak with them.
  3. An informal tone is more persuasive now. Even leaders must adjust to this.
  4. Conversations have more influence than speeches.
  5. Spontaneous communications delivered from a personal standpoint are considered more ‘real’ than a script created by a team or speechwriter.
  6. Soundbites and talking points are less impactful than storytelling, humor, and off-the-cuff comments.

We could debate endlessly whether this is good for society. For my part, I expect both costs and benefits from this new style of communication. But the more significant fact is that this is now inevitable.

The results may be clumsy and painful to watch. Institutional media will now try to prove that it can be edgy and alternative and freewheeling. This will often look like a dinosaur pretending that it’s a ballerina.

But they have no alternative. You might as well try to rebuild the Tower of Babel from a Lego set. The old hierarchies aren’t coming back anytime soon.

Back in March, I reflected on how my writing style has become more conversational during the last three years. I tried to explain why—but it just boiled down to that fact that it felt right to adopt this conversational tone.

What I wrote back then now seems a bit prophetic of this new style of public discourse. A few months after I launched on Substack, I noticed that my sentences and paragraphs were changing. And not in a small way.

This surprised me. I had been publishing in commercial media since I was a teen, and felt I really found my stride around the time I reached my forties. Ten books written since then validated this complacent confidence by attracting enthusiastic readers.

Why would I change now? What made it more unsettling was that I didn’t understand why I was writing differently….

I only gradually figured out that I was now writing the same way I spoke in private conversation. It was almost as if I’d let my guard down, and was talking off the record, or with a close friend. I didn’t know that could be a writing style. But it felt right, so I kept doing it.

I believe that a lot of people are coming to the same realization. The world has changed, and communication styles must adapt to the new reality.

Why is this happening now?

Here’s the reality—rhetorical skills and speechmaking got degraded during the last decade. This top-down approach works best when it is rigorous, logical, and organized. But in an age of insults, taunts, and denunciations, speechifying starts to feels like browbeating—a never-ending harangue.

Too much of public discourse, in recent years, has boiled down to powerful people (sometimes of limited intellect) screaming into a microphone from a bully pulpit. That’s not what oratory should be, but it’s what it has become.

These things feed on themselves. If you grasp the dominant Girardian mimicry in society today, you shouldn’t be surprised to see that screaming from one elite eventually causes others to scream back. And the conflicts thus escalate—getting angrier and more shrill with each passing year.

Don’t tell me that you haven’t noticed. Most of us are now burned out on this kind of hot oratory—whether from friends or enemies. A conversational style feels refreshing by comparison.

Rhetoric and speechifying won’t regain their influence until they get cleaned up. We need different leaders from the current crop before that will happen. Oratory won’t come back until genuine orators emerge as leaders.

Until then, get ready for the new era of rambling conversations. Not long ago, those endless three-hour Joe Rogan podcasts seemed bizarre. Even more to the point, they ran against the conventional wisdom. The audience wanted short soundbites—the ‘experts’ all agreed on this. Nobody had time to listen to a three-hour podcast.

But now every media outlet is shifting to conversational formats. Podcasting is thriving because of this approach. Many successful YouTubers are doing the exact same thing. Writers (on Substack and elsewhere) are also embracing a more conversational tone. Leaders will now have more authority when they speak while sitting—not standing.

TV news channels have grasped this new reality. Until quite recently, broadcast journalism was built on talking heads who could read a script with confidence. Those days are over—instead of the declamatory news anchor, expect to see more spontaneous interactive formats like The View or The Five.

Don’t say I didn’t warn you.

In 1921, President Warren Harding hired the first full-time presidential speechwriter. His predecessor, Woodrow Wilson was the last president who wrote his own speeches. In the aftermath, no serious candidate could afford to rely on spontaneous communicating in everyday words. A leader needed to be a powerful orator, and every word needed to be perfect.

Around that same time, the broadcasting industry was born with the rise of radio—and it followed the same rules. News reels and (later TV journalism) also adopted a polished rhetorical style.

Consider Walter Winchell—the most famous broadcaster in the United States during the 1940s. Does anybody speak in this declamatory way nowadays? It sounds grating to our ears today. It feels fake. But every broadcaster talked like this until the second half of the twentieth century.

TV softened this style—but only a tiny bit. Unscripted conversational styles got adopted in talk shows and game shows. But TV news journalists still sounded like orators delivering a carefully written speech.

Even the best of them—for example, Walter Cronkite, the most popular TV journalist of the 1960s—still sounded very staged and scripted and extremely unlike anybody having a conversation. Could you imagine Joe Rogan—or even Anderson Cooper or Oprah Winfrey—talking like this?

You can’t really do broadcasting like this anymore. Some people try—for example, NPR hosts still hold on to a variant of this scolding tone (even when conducting interviews!). But how’s that been working lately?

Yet, even back in the 1960s, if you stayed up late and watched The Tonight Show, you got introduced to an entirely different way of talking to an audience. This is the true forerunner of today’s new conversational tone.

The Walter Cronkite and Johnny Carson film clips come from the same year—and show the huge gap between professional discourse of politicians and journalists as compared with the more informal, unscripted approach of entertainers.

This gap is now disappearing in every communication forum. Social media is the most obvious place, but spontaneity is now the rule almost everywhere. The Age of the Talking Head is over.

Broadcasters will feel the pinch. But so will almost everybody else—politicians, educators, doctors, ministers, coaches, managers, and any other individual who needs to exercise leadership in any group setting whatsoever.

Many are not ready for this. Some will believe that they are immune to change and will keep bullying from the bully pulpit. Don’t be one of them—because their power and influence will erode very quickly.