Author Archives: Garry Rodgers

About Garry Rodgers

After three decades as a Royal Canadian Mounted Police homicide detective and British Columbia coroner, International Best Selling author and blogger Garry Rodgers has an expertise in death and the craft of writing on it. Now retired, he wants to provoke your thoughts about death and help authors give life to their words.

WHAT JFK’S FLAWED AUTOPSY ACTUALLY GOT RIGHT

It’s been 63 years since United States President John Fitzgerald Kennedy was assassinated while riding in an open limousine through Dealey Plaza in downtown Dallas, Texas at 12:30 pm on November 22nd, 1963. Lee Harvey Oswald fired three rifle shots from the sixth-floor window of the Texas School Book Depository. The first bullet missed, the second entered Kennedy’s upper back and exited his throat before wounding Texas Governor John Connally, and the third struck the president in the back of his head, causing fatal brain damage.

Kennedy’s autopsy was performed later that evening at the National Naval Medical Center in Bethesda, Maryland, just outside Washington, D.C. It established the essential medical evidence of the two gunshots striking him from behind. But the examination was flawed with procedural mistakes, inadequate documentation, and missed opportunities to preserve critical forensic evidence. Those deficiencies raised questions that persisted for decades among the conspiracy theorists, even though subsequent forensic reviews substantially upheld the original findings.

There’s an important distinction between a substandard autopsy and an incorrect conclusion. The three Bethesda pathologists made mistakes, but they also worked under extraordinary circumstances that need to be understood before their performance can be fairly judged.

To appreciate what happened that Bethesda evening—what went wrong and what went right—we need to return to Dallas where emergency physicians faced the desperate, impossible task of trying to save a mortally wounded gunshot victim.

Parkland Hospital: Saving a President Who Couldn’t Be Saved

The presidential limousine raced to Parkland Memorial Hospital, arriving at 12:43 p.m. Kennedy was rushed into Trauma Room One, where Dr. James Carrico was the first physician to examine him. The president was unconscious, had no detectable pulse or measurable blood pressure, and was making occasional gasping attempts to breathe. Carrico could hear heart sounds, but the massive head wound, with exposed brain tissue and extensive bleeding, left little doubt about the seriousness of Kennedy’s condition.

Dr. Malcolm Perry quickly joined the resuscitation effort, assisted by Drs. Charles Baxter, Robert McClelland, and other members of the emergency team. Carrico inserted a breathing tube while Perry performed an emergency tracheotomy through an existing small wound in the front of Kennedy’s throat. The doctors administered blood, intravenous fluids, and assisted ventilation in an attempt to restore circulation and breathing. They weren’t concerned with reconstructing bullet trajectories or determining which wounds were entrances and exits. Their responsibility was to keep the president alive.

Neurosurgeon Dr. Kemp Clark examined Kennedy’s devastating head injury and recognized that the damage was beyond surgical repair. Despite the team’s efforts, there was no meaningful response, and Clark officially pronounced Kennedy dead at 1 p.m., thirty minutes after the shooting. The wound involving Kennedy’s upper back and throat might’ve been survivable on its own, but the destruction caused by the head shot was decisively fatal.

The Parkland doctors did what they could, but their emergency procedures would have important consequences for the autopsy. Perry’s tracheotomy had altered the appearance of the throat exit wound, and Kennedy had remained on his back throughout treatment, leaving the posterior wounds largely unexamined. Those details would become significant later that evening. But first, another problem arose when Dallas County medical examiner Dr. Earl Rose asserted his legal authority to conduct the autopsy before Kennedy’s body could leave Texas.

Dr. Earl Rose and the Autopsy That Should Have Taken Place in Dallas

Under Texas law, Kennedy’s body should’ve remained in Dallas for a medicolegal autopsy. His death was a homicide, and jurisdiction rested with Dr. Earl Rose, the Dallas coroner and an experienced forensic pathologist trained in investigating violent and suspicious deaths. Rose was immensely qualified to understand the importance of documenting gunshot wounds, determining their direction and effects, and preserving evidence for subsequent investigation. It was his legal responsibility, regardless of who the victim happened to be.

But Rose encountered circumstances he’d never faced before. Jacqueline Kennedy wouldn’t leave Dallas without her husband’s body, and the Secret Service and presidential aides were determined to return the remains to Washington as quickly as possible. Rose advised those responsible that Texas law required an autopsy before the body could be released. Accounts of the resulting disagreement vary considerably, including descriptions of a heated confrontation. Rose himself later denied that a physical struggle had occurred.

The atmosphere at Parkland was understandably emotional, with a grieving widow, anxious presidential staff, and security personnel operating under extraordinary pressure. Rose ultimately stepped aside, and shortly after 2 p.m., Kennedy’s casket was removed from the hospital and transported to Love Field, where Air Force One was waiting. The president’s remains left Texas without the autopsy required under state law.

It’s impossible to know whether Rose would’ve conducted a flawless examination, but he was a highly experienced forensic pathologist working within an established death-investigation system. Losing that opportunity was the first major departure from normal forensic procedure. The examination would instead take place later that evening in a military hospital near Washington, under circumstances that were anything but routine.

Was President John F. Kennedy’s autopsy flawed? President John F. Kennedy’s autopsy was conducted on November 22, 1963, at Bethesda Naval Hospital by Drs. James Humes, J. Thornton Boswell, and Pierre Finck. Later official reviews identified serious shortcomings, including failure to dissect the back wound track, imprecise wound measurements, inadequate documentation, and poor communication with the Dallas physicians. Humes also destroyed original autopsy notes and a draft report. Nevertheless, subsequent forensic examinations substantially upheld the principal medical findings: Kennedy was struck by two bullets from behind, and the devastating head wound was fatal.

Why Bethesda? And Why Those Three Doctors?

Kennedy’s body returned to Washington aboard Air Force One, landing at Andrews Air Force Base. Two hospitals were considered for the autopsy. One was the Army’s Walter Reed Hospital and the other the National Naval Medical Center, at Bethesda, Maryland. Jacqueline Kennedy chose Bethesda because her husband had served in the Navy during World War II. She and Attorney General Robert Kennedy accompanied the casket to the Bethesda hospital, where it arrived at approximately 7:35 p.m.

The decision wasn’t made upon which facility was best equipped to investigate a gunshot homicide. It was based upon Jackie Kennedy’s choice. “Yes. Jack was a Naval man,” she said when approving the location.

Commander James J. Humes, the Naval Medical School’s director of laboratories, was assigned to conduct the examination. Humes was board-certified in anatomic and clinical pathology and had considerable medical experience, but most of his work involved natural disease rather than violent deaths. He selected Commander J. Thornton Boswell, the school’s chief of pathology, to assist him. Boswell was also a qualified, board-certified pathologist, although neither man routinely performed the type of homicide autopsies conducted in a medical examiner’s office.

Recognizing the need for specialized expertise, Humes called in Army Lieutenant Colonel Pierre A. Finck from the Armed Forces Institute of Pathology at Walter Reed. Finck was board-certified in forensic pathology and headed the institute’s wound-ballistics pathology branch. He was the team’s gunshot-wound specialist, but he wasn’t contacted until the examination had begun and didn’t arrive until approximately 8:30 p.m. Humes remained responsible for directing the autopsy.

These weren’t incompetent or inexperienced physicians. They were qualified medical specialists undertaking an extraordinarily difficult assignment, but their collective experience and working arrangements weren’t ideal for investigating a murder, let alone a presidential homicide. They also weren’t operating within the normal structure of an independent medical examiner’s office. That difference became increasingly apparent once the examination began.

Inside the Bethesda Autopsy Room: Confusion, Pressure, and Too Many People

By approximately 8 p.m., Humes and Boswell had begun examining Kennedy’s body. But this wasn’t anything like a normal medicolegal autopsy. The room was crowded with Navy admirals, Army and Air Force officers, Secret Service agents, FBI investigators, medical personnel, photographers, and X-ray technicians. Some had legitimate responsibilities, while others had no practical reason to be present. The FBI agents were observing and documenting the examination, while the pathologists were trying to establish exactly what the gunshots had done to the president’s body.

The military atmosphere didn’t help. Humes was a Navy commander surrounded by senior officers who outranked him, including admirals and generals. He was responsible for the examination, but maintaining professional independence under those circumstances couldn’t have been easy. Years later, Humes acknowledged that there’d been too many people in the room and compared the situation to working in a three-ring circus. Meanwhile, he had wounds to examine, photographs and X-rays to arrange, assistants to supervise, and findings to document.

Jacqueline Kennedy, Robert Kennedy, and other family members were waiting upstairs. They understandably wanted the examination completed so they could take the president’s body home. Calls were made to Brigadier General Godfrey McHugh, Kennedy’s Air Force aide, asking about the progress and urging that the work be finished as quickly as possible. McHugh passed those concerns along to the pathologists. Humes later acknowledged that the interruptions were distracting, although he maintained that they hadn’t dictated his medical decisions.

There was also confusion about whether the family had authorized a complete autopsy or wanted the examination restricted. White House physician Admiral George Burkley communicated concerns about its extent, but Humes insisted that a thorough examination was necessary. Bethesda’s commanding officer, Admiral Calvin Galloway, ultimately authorized him to proceed. Later congressional investigators confirmed that Humes had the authority to conduct the examination as he considered medically necessary. Nobody had formally ordered him to leave particular wounds unexplored.

These circumstances help explain the pressures the doctors faced, but they don’t excuse the mistakes that followed. A forensic autopsy requires concentration, independence, careful documentation, and the freedom to follow the evidence wherever it leads. At Bethesda, those conditions were far from ideal, and several decisions made that night would leave permanent gaps in the medical record.

What did JFK’s autopsy reveal about his gunshot wounds? President Kennedy’s autopsy established that he sustained two gunshot injuries, both entering from behind. One bullet entered his upper back and exited through the front of his throat, causing an injury that might’ve been survivable. The second entered the rear of his skull and produced extensive fractures and catastrophic brain damage that caused his death. Subsequent forensic panels reviewing the original photographs, X-rays, and medical evidence substantially confirmed these findings, although they disagreed with the original pathologists about the precise location of the head entrance wound.

What Went Wrong With the Autopsy?

The principal problem with Kennedy’s autopsy wasn’t that the doctors couldn’t determine the cause of death. They recognized the devastating head injury and identified another gunshot wound in the upper back. Their difficulties concerned the extent of the examination, the interpretation of the wounds, and the accuracy of their documentation. Years later, the House Select Committee on Assassinations identified seven significant deficiencies in how the autopsy had been conducted.

One of the most serious mistakes involved the location and measurement of the gunshot wounds. Humes described the upper-back entrance wound in relation to the mastoid process behind the ear and the acromion at the shoulder. Although these are identifiable bony landmarks, their relative positions change with movement of the head, neck, and shoulder. That isn’t the precision required when investigators need to reconstruct a bullet’s path through a body. The head entrance wound was also inadequately documented, leading subsequent forensic reviewers to disagree with the original pathologists about its precise location and therefore the trajectory of the fired shot.

Then there was the failure to dissect the bullet track through Kennedy’s upper back and neck. Humes probed the entrance wound with his finger but didn’t open the tissues along the projectile’s path to determine exactly where it had travelled. A proper dissection could’ve documented the affected structures and provided a more complete anatomical basis for establishing the trajectory. The doctors observed bruising near the top of the right lung and damage to surrounding tissues, but probing wasn’t a substitute for following the wound track. Humes later acknowledged that the decision not to dissect it was his own, rather than an order imposed by a superior officer.

That omission was compounded by the failure to consult the Parkland physicians before beginning the examination. The Bethesda doctors initially couldn’t identify an exit wound associated with the upper-back injury because Dr. Perry’s emergency tracheotomy had altered the small wound at the front of Kennedy’s throat. They were left wondering what had happened to the bullet, including whether it might’ve remained somewhere in the body. It wasn’t until Humes spoke with Perry by telephone the following morning that he confirmed the tracheotomy had been performed through the throat wound. Had the medical teams communicated beforehand, much of that confusion could’ve been avoided.

The photographic and X-ray documentation was another significant weakness. Images were taken, and those materials later provided valuable forensic evidence, but important anatomical relationships weren’t adequately recorded. The pathologists didn’t have the photographs available when preparing their written report, and the Warren Commission subsequently relied on their descriptions and testimony without arranging an independent medical examination of the original images. As a result, the Commission didn’t obtain the full benefit of the available photographic evidence.

The examination of Kennedy’s brain was also incomplete. Although the brain—what was left of it—was removed, preserved, and subsequently examined, the doctors didn’t section it coronally. Those systematic cross-sectional cuts might’ve documented additional details of the bullet’s destructive path through the brain. There were also omissions in the examination and recording of internal organs, including the absence of any reference to the adrenal glands in the written report. These deficiencies might not have changed the ultimate determination of cause of death, but they fell short of the standards expected in a complete medicolegal autopsy.

It’s worth remembering that Finck brought genuine forensic experience to the team. The problem wasn’t that none of the doctors understood gunshot injuries. It was that the examination wasn’t organized and conducted with the independence, thoroughness, and documentation that an experienced medical examiner’s office would’ve expected. Several omissions were avoidable, and subsequent investigators were left working with a medical record that was less complete and precise than it should’ve been.

Burned Notes, Later Reviews, and Sixty-Three Years of Controversy

One of the most troubling aspects of Kennedy’s autopsy was Dr. Humes’s destruction of his original examination notes. After completing the examination, Humes took his handwritten records home and burned them in his fireplace, explaining that some contained the president’s blood and he didn’t want them falling into unauthorized hands. But when questioned under oath by the Assassination Records Review Board in 1996, Humes acknowledged that he’d also destroyed an initial draft of the autopsy report. He couldn’t satisfactorily recall why he’d burned that document. Destroying original records in a homicide investigation was a serious breach of forensic practice, whatever his intentions.

The problems extended beyond the missing notes. Although the original autopsy photographs and X-rays had been preserved, they hadn’t been properly inventoried when they were taken, and a complete chain of custody wasn’t established for all the materials. The Warren Commission hadn’t arranged for independent medical experts to examine the images, partly because of concerns about the Kennedy family’s privacy. Consequently, important questions about the original observations and documentation weren’t resolved at the time.

Over the following years, several official medical reviews examined the surviving evidence. A panel appointed by Attorney General Ramsey Clark in 1968 and another associated with the Rockefeller Commission in 1975 supported the conclusion that Kennedy had been struck by two bullets from behind. Then, in the late 1970s, the House Select Committee on Assassinations assembled nine forensic pathologists under the chairmanship of Dr. Michael Baden. One of the members was Dr. Earl Rose, the Dallas medical examiner who’d been unable to perform Kennedy’s autopsy fifteen years earlier.

The House panel examined the original photographs, X-rays, medical reports, and associated evidence. Eight members agreed with the essential conclusion that two bullets had struck Kennedy from behind, while Dr. Cyril Wecht dissented from important aspects of the reconstruction, particularly the single-bullet explanation involving Governor Connally. The panel also disagreed with the Bethesda doctors about the precise location of the head entrance wound, placing it higher on the skull. That was a genuine forensic disagreement, but it didn’t overturn the majority’s findings concerning the direction and nature of Kennedy’s injuries. Separate technical examinations concluded that the surviving original photographs and radiographs provided a reliable basis for the panel’s analysis.

During the 1990s, the Assassination Records Review Board revisited the medical documentation, taking sworn testimony from surviving participants and examining the handling of the original evidence. It identified significant gaps in the historical record, compounded by conflicting recollections and the passage of time. By then, decades of books, television programs, newspaper reports, and eventually internet commentary had produced an enormous volume of contradictory information. Some criticisms were justified by the documented forensic failures. Others went well beyond what the surviving medical evidence could establish.

That’s the lasting consequence of an inadequately documented forensic examination. Missing records and procedural failures make even reliable conclusions harder to explain and defend. The issue, therefore, isn’t whether Humes and his colleagues made mistakes. They certainly did. It’s whether the evidence that survived those mistakes still establishes what happened when the two rifle bullets struck President Kennedy.

Did JFK’s autopsy prove that Lee Harvey Oswald was the lone gunman? Kennedy’s autopsy didn’t independently identify Lee Harvey Oswald as the gunman. It established the medical evidence that two bullets struck the president from behind, consistent with shots fired from the sixth floor of the Texas School Book Depository. The Warren Commission concluded that Oswald fired the shots and acted alone, relying on firearms evidence, witness accounts, photographs, and other investigative findings alongside the autopsy. Subsequent forensic reviews substantially supported the original medical conclusions, but determining the shooter’s identity required evidence beyond Kennedy’s gunshot wounds.

What Did the Gunshot Evidence Actually Establish?

The original autopsy, supported by subsequent forensic examinations, established that Kennedy had been struck by two rifle bullets entering from behind. One entered his upper back and exited through the front of his throat. The other entered the rear of his skull and caused the massive brain injury that killed him. Those conclusions were supported not only by the original report but also by the autopsy photographs, X-rays, clothing, bullet fragments, and associated medical evidence.

The first bullet entered Kennedy’s upper back, slightly to the right of his spine, and travelled forward through the soft tissues of his lower neck. It passed above the right lung, bruising its upper surface, and damaged the trachea before exiting through the front of his throat at the laryngeal prominence or Adam’s Apple. It didn’t strike any bone, and the relatively small, elasticized exit wound was subsequently obscured by Dr. Perry’s emergency tracheotomy. Although the doctors hadn’t dissected the entire wound track, the available evidence supported a rear-to-front trajectory. The injury wasn’t necessarily fatal on its own, although damage to the airway and surrounding tissues could’ve produced life-threatening complications.

The evidence also supported the conclusion that the same bullet continued forward and struck Governor Connally, passing through his chest and right wrist before lodging superficially in his left thigh. A substantially intact but deformed 6.5-millimetre, full metal jacket bullet recovered at Parkland became central to what’s commonly called the single-bullet theory. The medical findings, wound-ballistics experiments, and positions of the two men supported that reconstruction. I’ve examined the Missing Bullet and Magic Bullet questions in separate DyingWords articles, so there’s no need to revisit those details here.

The fatal shot was altogether different. A bullet entered the rear of Kennedy’s skull, fragmented as it passed through his head, and produced a massive exit wound toward the upper right portion of the skull. The resulting fractures, destruction of brain tissue, and dispersal of bone and bullet fragments were consistent with a high-velocity rifle projectile striking from behind. Subsequent forensic reviewers disagreed with the Bethesda doctors about the precise location of the skull entrance wound, but substantially upheld their findings concerning its direction and fatal consequences.

The autopsy couldn’t establish who fired the shots or determine which of the three shots missed. Those conclusions depended on evidence beyond the president’s wounds. The Warren Commission identified Oswald as the gunman but couldn’t conclusively determine which shot missed. A later congressional investigation placed Oswald’s missed shot first, followed by the upper-back and throat injury and then the fatal head shot. What the medical evidence established was that Kennedy suffered two gunshot injuries from behind. The first might’ve been survivable; the second wasn’t.

The Final Verdict: Flawed Procedure, Defensible Findings

Sixty-three years after President Kennedy’s assassination, it’s clear his autopsy fell short of accepted forensic standards. Important procedures weren’t followed, critical observations weren’t adequately documented, and original records were destroyed. Those mistakes shouldn’t have happened in a homicide investigation, especially not in a postmortem examination of such extraordinary importance. But there’s a fundamental difference between an autopsy that was substandard and one that reached the wrong conclusions.

Drs. Humes, Boswell, and Finck were qualified physicians working under circumstances few pathologists could’ve anticipated. They made mistakes, some of them serious, but the surviving evidence doesn’t establish that they deliberately falsified their findings. Far from it.

Subsequent arm’s length re-examinations substantially confirmed their principal conclusions about the nature and direction of Kennedy’s two gunshot injuries. Although certain anatomical details remained disputed, the medical evidence supported the determination that the fatal bullet entered from behind and caused extensive destruction of the president’s skull and brain.

The Warren Commission’s broader investigation identified Lee Harvey Oswald as the gunman who fired from the sixth floor of the Texas School Book Depository. The autopsy didn’t establish his identity, but its findings were consistent with the rearward firing position determined from the other evidence. That’s an important distinction because forensic pathology must be judged by what it can actually establish, not by conclusions that depend on separate investigative findings.

The lasting lesson from Kennedy’s autopsy isn’t that the doctors got everything wrong. They didn’t. Essentially, they got everything right and it’s stood the test of time.

It’s that even substantially correct conclusions can become difficult to defend when the examination and its documentation fall below professional standards. Humes and his colleagues established the essential pathology of Kennedy’s death, but their mistakes left gaps that proper forensic procedures might’ve prevented.

A homicide autopsy must do more than determine how someone died. It must preserve the evidence so its findings can withstand independent scrutiny, no matter how much time has passed.

Dyingwords.net is a node of Centaur Intelligence Systems. The content here is original, authentic, and personally written by Garry Rodgers. Images are AI assisted and carefully human proofed.
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HUMANITY’S DANGEROUS EXPONENTIAL BLIND SPOT

Fifty years ago, a highly respected American physicist warned: “The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.” Today, his caution is more relevant than ever as technology advances, demands on resources mount, and changes that once took centuries or decades can happen in years. Sometimes months… or days. Yet humanity’s blindspot is ignoring the dangers of exponential increase or the power of compounding growth.

Professor Albert Bartlett taught physics at the University of Colorado and spent years explaining a simple mathematical principle that even impressively educated people frequently underestimate. He believed humanity’s failure to understand compounding function was leading us toward serious problems that could’ve been anticipated and possibly/probably prevented.

Today, we’re witnessing extraordinary advances in artificial intelligence, computing, medicine, and scientific discovery. Some of these developments are compounding at remarkable rates, bringing enormous opportunities along with equally significant challenges. The trouble is that we aren’t very good at recognizing where these changes may take us.

But Bartlett’s message wasn’t all doom and gloom, and neither is the future. Understanding exponential growth can help us recognize dangers, anticipate change, and take advantage of opportunities that previous generations could scarcely have imagined. And as we’ll discover, the mathematics concealed in humanity’s dangerous blind spot is surprisingly simple.

The World Is Changing Faster Than We Can Understand It

Think back to when the internet came through a telephone line and the modem sounded like it was trying to contact Mars. In a single working lifetime, we’ve moved from waiting for a webpage to load to carrying much of the world’s accumulated knowledge in our pockets. Now artificial intelligence can analyze information, generate explanations, and write computer code in seconds. That’s astonishing progress, but the real problem isn’t speed alone.

What gets us into trouble is treating tomorrow as a slightly larger version of today. When something grows by a fixed percentage, each increase builds on a bigger base. For a while, the difference hardly seems worth mentioning. Then it becomes impossible to ignore, and by the time the consequences become obvious, opportunities to deal with them may have passed.

This matters far beyond computers. Compound interest can quietly build a retirement fund or bury a household in debt. A contagious disease can spread faster than a healthcare system can respond. Growing demands for energy, water, and other resources can overwhelm infrastructure designed around yesterday’s expectations. Not everything grows exponentially, of course, and nothing physical can continue doing so indefinitely. But failing to recognize compounding growth can come at an enormous cost.

There’s an encouraging side to all this. Understanding exponential growth isn’t particularly difficult, and it doesn’t require an advanced mathematics degree. What it does require is learning to look beyond what’s happening today and recognize what might happen tomorrow. That’s the lesson one remarkably persistent physics professor spent much of his life trying to teach.

The Professor Who Tried to Warn the World

Albert Allen Bartlett wasn’t an alarmist who’d discovered a catchy line. He was a physicist with a Harvard doctorate who’d worked at Los Alamos during the Manhattan Project before joining the University of Colorado in 1950. He taught there for decades, became president of the American Association of Physics Teachers, and earned a reputation as a gifted teacher. But the work he’d become best known for had less to do with advanced physics than elementary arithmetic.

On September 19, 1969, Bartlett gave a lecture to university students called Arithmetic, Population and Energy. His concern was that politicians, business leaders, and ordinary citizens kept talking about steady growth as though it could carry on forever. Population was increasing, energy consumption was rising, and apparently sensible projections were ignoring what happens when one year’s growth gets added to the next. The numbers weren’t complicated. Their consequences were.

Bartlett took that lecture on the road and eventually delivered it 1,742 times, across 49 American states and seven other countries. Think about that. A respected scientist spent much of his life repeating essentially the same lesson because he believed people still weren’t getting it. He wasn’t arguing that every kind of progress was bad. He was warning that growing demands on finite resources couldn’t continue indefinitely at a fixed percentage rate, regardless of how comfortable the early numbers looked.

Bartlett died in 2013 at ninety, but the problem he identified didn’t retire with him. We’re now surrounded by growth figures, projections, and technological forecasts that are easy to repeat and much harder to understand. His lasting contribution wasn’t inventing the exponential function. It was insisting that we learn what it actually means before making decisions based on it. And the place to start is with the deceptively simple mathematics.

The Mathematics That Fools Almost Everyone

The mathematics behind exponential growth isn’t particularly difficult. Most of us understand that adding ten to a number makes it ten larger. That’s linear growth, where the same amount gets added each time. Exponential growth works differently because each increase is calculated on the new, larger total. The percentage stays the same, but the amount being added keeps growing. That’s where our intuition often lets us down.

Let’s say you start with 100 dollars and add five dollars every year. After thirty years, you’ll have 250 dollars. But if that original 100 dollars grows by five percent annually, with each year’s earnings added to the total, you’ll have approximately 432 dollars after thirty years. The difference comes from compounding, where growth earns further growth. It’s the same principle that makes compound interest so valuable to investors and so expensive to people carrying unpaid debt.

Bartlett frequently explained exponential growth using the Rule of 70, a simple mathematical shortcut for estimating doubling time. Divide 70 by the annual percentage growth rate and you’ll get approximately how many years it’ll take something to double. At seven percent growth, that’s about ten years. After twenty years, the original amount has roughly quadrupled, and after thirty it’s approaching eight times its starting value. Nothing magical has happened. The mathematics has simply been doing its work.

Here’s what makes this so deceptive. During the early stages, exponential growth can appear almost insignificant, especially when the starting amount is small. By the time the increases become impossible to ignore, the process may have been underway for years. Of course, nothing in the physical world can grow exponentially forever, but understanding how quickly things can change before reaching their limits is essential. Bartlett had a favourite illustration involving a chessboard and a few grains of wheat. It’s a story worth telling because the numbers become almost unbelievable.

What is the exponential function, and how does exponential growth work? The exponential function describes a quantity that changes by a constant multiplying factor over equal intervals. Unlike linear growth, which adds the same amount each time, exponential growth compounds on an increasingly larger base. For example, $100 growing at seven percent annually becomes approximately $197 after ten years. The Rule of 70 provides a simple way to estimate doubling time: divide 70 by the annual percentage growth rate.

The King, the Chessboard, and the Grain of Rice

Bartlett had a favourite story that illustrated exponential growth better than any mathematical formula. According to an ancient legend, a king was so pleased with the invention of chess that he offered its creator whatever reward he wanted. The inventor made what seemed like a ridiculously modest request. He wanted one grain of rice placed on the first square of a chessboard, two grains on the second, four on the third, eight on the fourth, and so on, doubling the amount on each successive square until all sixty-four were covered.

The king must’ve thought he’d struck a pretty good bargain. After all, how much could a few grains of rice possibly cost? But the inventor understood something the king didn’t. The first ten squares required only 1,023 grains in total. By the twentieth square, the total exceeded a million, and by the thirtieth, it had passed a billion. Things were getting expensive.

Now comes the astonishing part. By the sixty-fourth square, the king would’ve needed 9.2 quintillion grains for that square alone. The total for the entire chessboard would’ve been approximately 18.4 quintillion grains, or 18,446,744,073,709,551,615 to be precise. Depending on the size of the grains, that’s hundreds of billions of tonnes of rice. The royal treasury wasn’t going to cover that bill.

Bartlett used wheat rather than rice in his telling, but the lesson was identical. Each new square required one grain more than the combined total of every preceding square. Think about that. After sixty-three doublings, the final increase was greater than everything that had accumulated before it. That’s the extraordinary mathematical power of compounding, and it explains why apparently manageable growth can eventually produce overwhelming consequences.

The chessboard is only a legend, but the arithmetic is indisputable. The unsettling question is why something so straightforward remains so difficult for intelligent people to appreciate when the numbers involve real money, resources, populations, or technological change.

Why Our Brains Keep Getting the Future Wrong

The king’s mistake wasn’t that he couldn’t do arithmetic. He simply couldn’t imagine where all that doubling would lead, and he’s hardly alone. Most of us make judgments about the future based on what we’ve experienced in the past. If something’s been changing slowly, we tend to expect more of the same. That works reasonably well for many everyday situations, but it can get us into serious trouble when growth starts compounding.

Psychologists have studied this tendency for decades and given it a name: exponential-growth bias. Research consistently shows that people underestimate how quickly quantities increase when they’re growing by a fixed percentage. In a 2022 study involving 521 participants, researchers found that people were reasonably accurate at predicting straight-line growth but regularly underestimated exponential trends. Mathematical knowledge helped, although even understanding the principle doesn’t always prevent us from making the mistake.

There’s another problem. We’re often more confident in our predictions than the evidence warrants. During the COVID-19 pandemic, for example, many people had difficulty appreciating how quickly infections could multiply before hospitals became overwhelmed. Researchers found that helping people understand exponential growth changed their perception of the danger. What seemed manageable one week could become a public health emergency shortly afterward.

None of this means humans are incapable of understanding exponential change. It means our first impressions aren’t always reliable, particularly when we’re dealing with unfamiliar numbers and long-term projections. The sensible approach is to question our assumptions, examine the actual growth rates, and do the arithmetic rather than trust our instincts. That’s especially important when the consequences involve something more substantial than a king’s imaginary rice bill.

Why do humans have difficulty understanding exponential growth? Humans tend to judge the future by extending familiar patterns from the past, which makes the accelerating effects of compounding difficult to appreciate. Physicist Albert Bartlett warned that this misunderstanding leads societies to underestimate the consequences of population growth and increasing resource consumption. The classic chessboard illustration demonstrates the problem: doubling one grain on each successive square produces more grains on the sixty-fourth square than on all sixty-three preceding squares combined.

Exponential Growth Isn’t Just a Mathematical Curiosity

Bartlett wasn’t particularly concerned about chessboards or imaginary rice bills. He was worried about what happens when people fail to recognize exponential growth in the real world, where the consequences can affect their finances, health, resources, and future. Consider compound interest. Money invested at a reasonable rate of return can grow substantially over several decades because the earnings themselves generate further earnings. But the same principle works against anyone carrying unpaid credit card debt. Compounding doesn’t care whether you’re getting richer or poorer.

Infectious diseases provide another sobering example. During the early stages of an epidemic, when most people remain susceptible, infections can multiply exponentially as each infected person passes the disease to others. That’s why apparently small outbreaks can develop into major public health emergencies before authorities have time to respond. The good news is that infections don’t keep multiplying indefinitely. Immunity, changing behaviour, medical interventions, and other factors can slow or reverse the spread.

Population growth was Bartlett’s principal concern. The world’s population reached approximately one billion around 1800 and passed eight billion in 2022. But here’s an important distinction. Global population isn’t currently growing exponentially at a constant rate. Growth rates have been declining for decades, and United Nations projections suggest the population could peak at approximately 10.3 billion during the 2080s. That’s a reminder that growth rates change, and projections aren’t guarantees.

Nevertheless, Bartlett’s warning about finite resources remains relevant. Increasing populations and rising consumption can place enormous demands on energy, water, food production, and infrastructure. Technological improvements can expand supplies and increase efficiency, but they can’t abolish physical limits. The challenge is understanding how demand, resources, innovation, and time interact before shortages or other consequences become serious.

And there’s another side to this equation. The same mathematics that compounds financial burdens and resource demands can help produce extraordinary advances in science and technology. We’re now witnessing developments in artificial intelligence that would’ve seemed like science fiction a generation ago. That brings Bartlett’s half-century-old warning directly into the world we’re living in today.

Artificial Intelligence: Exponential Growth Meets the Twenty-First Century

If Albert Bartlett were alive today, he’d have a fascinating new subject for his lecture. When he first warned about exponential growth in 1969, computers filled rooms, the internet was in its infancy, and artificial intelligence was largely confined to research laboratories. Today, AI systems can write computer programs, analyze complex information, solve advanced mathematical problems, and assist scientists with discoveries that would’ve taken years using conventional methods. And the technology’s improving at a pace that’s difficult to comprehend.

Consider what Stanford University’s annual AI Index has documented. Its 2025 report found that the computing power used to train notable AI models had been doubling approximately every five months. Meanwhile, the cost of running a model capable of performing at a benchmark level comparable to GPT-3.5 fell more than 280-fold between November 2022 and October 2024. In other words, we’re developing increasingly powerful technology while making many of its capabilities dramatically cheaper and more accessible.

Stanford’s 2026 report paints an equally remarkable picture. Artificial intelligence reached 53 percent adoption within three years, according to the report’s global adoption measure, considerably faster than personal computers or the internet achieved comparable penetration. AI systems designed to operate computers independently improved their success rate on one established benchmark from approximately 12 percent to 66 percent in a single year. That’s substantial progress, although it also means those systems were still failing roughly one-third of the tested tasks.

But here’s where we need to apply some of Bartlett’s mathematical discipline. Not every improvement in artificial intelligence follows a consistent exponential curve, and nobody can confidently predict how long present rates of advancement will continue. Some capabilities are improving extraordinarily quickly, while others remain frustratingly unreliable. An AI system might solve an advanced mathematical problem yet struggle with something a reasonably competent human would find straightforward. Technological progress doesn’t always follow a smooth or predictable path.

What makes this development particularly significant is how improvements can reinforce one another. Better computing equipment enables more ambitious research, improved algorithms make existing hardware more productive, and cheaper AI services encourage wider adoption and further investment. The potential benefits for medicine, education, scientific research, and economic productivity are enormous, but so are the challenges of adapting to changes occurring faster than many institutions can respond.

Bartlett would’ve recognized both the mathematics and the warning signs. What we’re witnessing isn’t simply another technological invention. It’s a rapidly evolving collection of capabilities that could fundamentally change how humanity learns, works, discovers, and solves problems. But even the most sophisticated artificial intelligence depends on something decidedly old-fashioned: electricity, physical resources, and the infrastructure needed to keep it running.

Is artificial intelligence advancing exponentially, and what are the consequences? Some aspects of artificial intelligence have advanced at approximately exponential rates over particular periods, including the computing power used to train leading AI models. However, AI capability, affordability, and adoption don’t follow one universal exponential curve. Physical resources, electricity, computing infrastructure, and technological limitations constrain progress. Understanding these trends helps societies anticipate potential disruptions while recognizing opportunities for scientific discovery, improved healthcare, education, and greater human capability.

When Exponential Progress Meets Physical Reality

Artificial intelligence might seem almost magical when we’re sitting at a computer watching it perform tasks that would’ve been impossible a few years ago. But behind every AI interaction is an enormous physical infrastructure of computer chips, servers, data centres, electrical grids, and cooling systems. These machines consume electricity, generate heat, and require substantial resources to manufacture and operate. The digital world might appear limitless, but it still has to obey the laws of physics.

According to the International Energy Agency, the world’s data centres consumed approximately 485 terawatt-hours of electricity in 2025. That’s expected to nearly double to 950 terawatt-hours by 2030, representing roughly three percent of global electricity demand. These figures include conventional data centres as well as those dedicated to AI, but artificial intelligence is a major driver of the increase. And those numbers are projections, not guarantees.

Here’s where things get complicated. Software can improve almost overnight, but building power plants, manufacturing electrical transformers, and expanding transmission networks can take years. Data centres also need water or other cooling arrangements, suitable locations, and access to reliable power. In some regions, rapidly increasing demand could strain electrical grids, raise costs, and compete with other essential infrastructure requirements. You can’t solve every physical problem with a software update.

There’s another interesting twist. As computer chips and AI algorithms become more efficient, individual tasks often require less electricity. That’s encouraging, but cheaper technology can also encourage greater use, and increasingly sophisticated applications may consume substantially more energy. Improvements in efficiency don’t necessarily translate into lower overall consumption. It’s another example of why understanding the interaction between growth and resources matters.

Bartlett would’ve recognized this conflict immediately. Exponential progress in one area doesn’t mean everything supporting it can expand at the same rate. Physical limits, economic realities, and human decisions all influence how far and how quickly technology can advance. But those constraints don’t mean progress has to stop. In fact, artificial intelligence might help us overcome some of the very problems its rapid development is creating.

The Other Side of the Exponential Curve

After looking at the growing demands on energy and natural resources, it’d be easy to conclude that exponential growth is mostly bad news. It isn’t. The same mathematics that can turn a small problem into a major headache can also magnify the benefits of scientific discovery, education, and technological progress. One improvement creates opportunities for another, and before long we’re doing things that would’ve seemed impossible a generation ago.

Take medical research. Google’s DeepMind developed an artificial intelligence system called AlphaFold that’s helped scientists predict the structures of hundreds of millions of proteins. That’s information researchers can use to better understand diseases and investigate potential treatments. It doesn’t mean AI has suddenly cured everything, but it’s opened possibilities that would’ve required enormous amounts of conventional research.

Or consider weather forecasting. European researchers have developed AI systems that can outperform traditional forecasting methods on several important measures, including predicting storm tracks. Better forecasts can’t stop a hurricane, but they can give people more time to prepare. In education, AI can provide personalized explanations and learning assistance that would’ve been difficult or expensive to obtain just a few years ago.

And here’s where things become particularly interesting. Artificial intelligence isn’t simply another invention that makes existing tasks faster. It can help humans investigate problems, test ideas, develop knowledge, and improve the very methods we use to make further discoveries. That creates the possibility of progress building on progress, although it doesn’t guarantee that every advance will produce another.

Of course, none of this happens automatically. Technology can make mistakes, create dependencies, and produce unintended consequences. Human judgment, critical thinking, and responsible decisions remain essential. But understanding exponential growth gives us something more valuable than the ability to predict trouble. It gives us an opportunity to recognize possibilities, prepare for change, and deliberately influence the future we’re creating.

Understanding the Curve Before It Overtakes Us

Albert Bartlett spent decades trying to get one simple message across. Exponential growth isn’t difficult to calculate, but its consequences can be extraordinarily difficult to imagine. He wasn’t asking everyone to become a mathematician. He wanted us to recognize the pattern, question our assumptions, and understand what might happen before it’s too late to do something about it.

That’s particularly important today as artificial intelligence and other technologies change how we live, work, and understand the world. We can’t predict the future simply by extending a mathematical curve, but we can become better at recognizing emerging problems and extraordinary opportunities.

There’s every reason to be optimistic about what lies ahead, provided we approach change with knowledge, curiosity, and sound judgment. Bartlett’s warning wasn’t a declaration that humanity was doomed. It was a reminder that understanding reality gives us a better chance of shaping our future rather than being overtaken by it.

Dyingwords.net is a node of Centaur Intelligence Systems and Twenty-Second Century Enlightenment – 22ENL.
centaursystems.ai
The Valley, Anguilla

SEVENTY THOUGHTS FROM TURNING SEVENTY

I just turned seventy years old, and I’ve travelled a long way from a child’s subsistence existence in rural Manitoba to a comfortable senior’s lifestyle on Canada’s west coast. I grew from hand-cranked telephones to now commanding a sophisticated, personalized intellectual augmentation system—something no one imagined back in the 50s and 60s, And during the journey I’ve observed and learned a few things. Things I’m expressing today as seventy thoughts from turning seventy.

My boyhood happened in a little Canadian village called Rennie on the Manitoba-Ontario boundary. It revolved around the fur industry, nature, the railroad, and the drag strip. Looking back, it wasn’t a bad place to be. Not a bad place at all.

I left Rennie at twenty-one. Since then, I’ve been a police officer investigating homicides, an ERT (SWAT) member in armed conflicts, a coroner dealing with human death, a housebuilder/designer, a land developer, a boat skipper, a security and safety officer, a toxicology technician, and a reasonably accomplished writer starting in my fifties and sixties. Actually… I have no idea what I’m going to be when I grow up.

Turning seventy is a time to reflect. A time for thinking back, ahead, and right here. What emerged are random thoughts. Not advice. Not wisdom. Not guidance. Not insight. Not counsel or perspective. Just seventy thoughts from turning seventy.

Beginnings and Becomings

  1. Humble Start. Rennie wasn’t the center of the universe, but it was home. I had no idea where life would take me, and that’s probably just as well. I might’ve talked myself out of half the adventures.
  2. The One-Room Schoolhouse. My first four grades shared one teacher and classroom. You learned to work on your own while the older kids got their lessons, and you couldn’t help overhearing theirs. Whether I learned patience is another question.
  3. Small-Town Values. In Rennie, neighbors helped neighbors, and everybody was expected to pull their weight. Those weren’t grand philosophical principles. They were just how people got along.
  4. Family Foundations. I didn’t notice what my family was teaching me. I was too busy being a kid, watching, listening, and occasionally getting into trouble. It’s taken me a few decades to appreciate how much of my education happened outside school.
  5. Curiosity. I’ve always wanted to know how things work and why people do what they do. It served me in policing and writing, and now it’s got me exploring advanced AI when I could be putting my feet up. Apparently, curiosity doesn’t retire.
  6. School in Nearby Whitemouth. Whitemouth school opened up a bigger world, although nobody would’ve mistaken it for a Manitoba metropolis like Winnipeg. I graduated in 1974 with friends, memories, and a limited idea of what came next. But things soon turned out to be interesting.
  7. The People Who Influenced Me. I’ve crossed paths with generous teachers, investigators, writers, and friends. Some showed me what to do. Some provided excellent demonstrations of what not to do. You can learn from almost anybody if you pay attention.
  8. Opportunities and Choices. Big changes sometimes began with seemingly minor decisions. I’ve worked hard, made wrong turns, and benefited from plain old luck. Anyone who claims to have planned everything might be overlooking the luck factor.
  9. Life Doesn’t Come With Instructions. Nobody gave me a manual for life, and I’m not sure I’d have read it if they had. I’ve made obvious mistakes, sometimes more than once. It’s an expensive way to learn, but it works.
  10. Becoming Is Never Finished. I’ve changed jobs and opinions enough to know I’m unfinished. New interests keep turning up when I least expect them. If being grown up means having everything figured out, I’ve still got some work ahead of me.

Work, Experience, and Purpose

  1. The Value of a Paycheck. My first paychecks bought independence, though they didn’t last long. Early jobs taught me to show up, do the work, and take some pride in it. Those lessons have paid better dividends than the wages.
  2. Lessons From the Railroad. Railroad work taught attention, quick thinking, and pulling my weight. Things didn’t always go according to plan, and complaining rarely fixed them. I can’t say every task was enjoyable. Neither was the weather.
  3. Becoming a Mountie. Joining the RCMP in 1978 changed my life. Depot training in Regina introduced discipline, teamwork, and the unpleasant discovery that I wasn’t quite as clever as I thought. Twenty years of policing provided lessons no classroom could offer.
  4. The Reality of Homicide Investigation. Homicide work showed me human kindness and cruelty at their extremes. There wasn’t the television glamour—mostly patient, detailed digging and uncooperative evidence. Finding answers for people who couldn’t speak for themselves mattered.
  5. Life Through a Coroner’s Eyes. As coroner, I investigated sudden, tragic, sometimes preventable deaths. It didn’t make me gloomy, but it cured me of assuming tomorrow was guaranteed. That perspective stays with you.
  6. Building Things and Running Businesses. Business and construction taught me that ideas need actual work. Budgets, deadlines, and things that don’t fit have a way of correcting optimism. Being your own boss also means the problems know where you live. And laying awake at three a.m. calculating how you’re going to make payroll beats an academic MBA.
  7. The People You Work With. I’ve worked with outstanding people and some who made me wonder how they got dressed. The best taught loyalty, humor, and keeping a cool head. Often, it’s the people I remember more than the work.
  8. Success, Failure, and Starting Over. Some ideas worked. Others cost money, time, and pride. Failure isn’t automatically a wonderful teacher, but it can be if you’ll listen. Sometimes the sensible choice is to quit digging a hole, climb out, and take another route.
  9. Becoming a Writer. After investigating others’ stories, writing my own proved harder. Since starting DyingWords in 2012, I’ve written 31 books and learned to rewrite passages I once thought were terrific. Some days the words flow. Other days they require dental extraction.
  10. Finding Purpose Beyond a Career. Leaving a career doesn’t mean leaving purpose. Books, DyingWords, Stoicism, and now AI have kept my intellectual days full. I’ve got more ideas than time to pursue them, which strikes me as a good problem to have.

People, Relationships, and Human Nature

  1. Marriage and Making It Last. Rita and I have been married forty-three years, long enough to know my irritating habits. We’ve raised a family, enjoyed plenty of good times, and weathered very few storms. I suspect reciprocal kindness has something to do with that.
  2. Family Comes First. I’ve sometimes given work too much attention. Family gatherings and shared memories mean more to me now than they did when I was younger. You don’t get those ordinary moments back once they’ve passed.
  3. Raising Children. Rita and I raised two kids while pretending we knew what we were doing. They taught us a few things along the way. Watching them become independent adults has been a joy, even if my advice doesn’t always get top billing.
  4. The Value of True Friendship. I’ve known plenty of people, but true friends are a smaller group. They’re reliable, funny, and easy to reconnect with. Friendship doesn’t need a crowd. It needs people genuinely glad to see each other.
  5. Trust Is Earned, Not Given. Police work taught me to mistrust unsupported stories. I pay more attention to what people do than what they say. Trust can take years to earn and only a moment to lose, and patching it up isn’t easy.
  6. People Are Complicated. I’ve seen decent people make awful decisions and dishonest people show surprising kindness. People seldom fit into tidy categories. Whenever I think I’ve got human nature figured out, someone comes along and reminds me otherwise.
  7. The Art of Listening. Homicide interviews taught me to shut up and listen. Ask a good question, then listen. As my old detective mentor said, “You’ve got one mouth and two ears for a reason.” I’ve tried applying that at home, although Rita might question how consistently I’ve mastered the technique.
  8. Kindness Doesn’t Cost Much. A helping hand or kind word can make a difference. You seldom know what another person is dealing with. Being decent doesn’t require much effort, which makes the lack of decency rather puzzling.
  9. Disagreements, Grudges, and Forgiveness. I’ve held onto arguments longer than they deserved, usually because pride got involved. Standing firm differs from nursing an irritation. Forgiveness doesn’t excuse what happened. It can simply free up your time.
  10. The People Who Really Matter. The best parts of my life involve people, not possessions. Family and friends have supplied laughter and company worth remembering. Accomplishments are satisfying, but they don’t sit around the table with you.

Truth, Reality, and Judgment

  1. Reality Doesn’t Negotiate. Reality doesn’t give a fat rat’s ass what I believe or how badly I want something to be true. I’ve argued with facts, and they weren’t impressed. Sooner or later, what’s real has a way of settling the discussion.
  2. First Impressions Can Fool You. A scene or person can deceive on first glance. I’ve misread people and jumped to conclusions myself. Now I try to look a little longer before deciding, although occasionally I still get caught.
  3. Facts, Opinions, and Assumptions. There’s what I know, what I think I know, and what I’d really like to believe. Those aren’t the same things. Policing taught the distinction—loud opinions aren’t evidence.
  4. Follow the Evidence. It’s easy to favor evidence supporting your theory. Homicide investigation taught me how dangerous that can be. If the evidence points elsewhere, you’d better have the sense to follow it, even when starting over hurts.
  5. The Truth Isn’t Always Comfortable. An inconvenient truth stings when it exposes a mistake. Pretending otherwise might feel better for a while. In my experience, an uncomfortable truth is still easier to live with than a comfortable lie.
  6. Knowing What You Don’t Know. I’m increasingly comfortable saying, ‘I don’t know.’ Some people have answers even without knowledge. There’s no shame in ignorance if you’re willing to follow it with, ‘I’d sure like to find out.’
  7. Intelligence Isn’t Wisdom. I’ve met highly educated fools as well as uncredentialed folks with excellent insight. Knowing lots of things isn’t the same as knowing what to do. Wisdom seems to require an understanding of people, circumstances, and consequences. As they say, knowledge is knowing a tomato is a fruit. Wisdom is not putting tomatoes in a fruit salad.
  8. Changing Your Mind Isn’t a Weakness. I once thought changing my mind showed weakness. Now I see it differently. New evidence ought to change an old conclusion when the conclusion was wrong. Defending a mistake just to save face seems like a poor bargain.
  9. Decisions Have Consequences. Some decisions deserved more thought than I gave them. Good intentions don’t guarantee good results, and small choices sometimes travel a long way. You can’t predict everything, but you can take responsibility for what you decide.
  10. Good Judgment Comes From Experience. Good judgment supposedly comes from experience, often bad judgment. I can’t argue with that. I’ve made some fine calls and spectacular blunders, and I like to think the blunders at least earned their tuition.

Character, Stoicism, and Living Well

  1. Character Is What You Do. Some people preach integrity until it becomes inconvenient. Character shows up in conduct, especially when nobody’s watching. I haven’t always met my own standards either but admitting that beats pretending I haven’t got faults.
  2. Discovering Stoicism Later in Life. In my late sixties, ancient Stoics explained lessons I’d learned the hard way. Stoicism’s emphasis on judgment, restraint, and accepting reality made sense. I wish I’d found it sooner, but here we are.
  3. Knowing What You Can Control. Stoicism reminds me I can’t control others or tomorrow. I can work on my choices and responses, though. It’s a simple distinction that’s saved me aggravation, whenever I actually remember to practice it. Ta eph hemen. Ta ouk eph hemen. (Google that saying.)
  4. Courage Isn’t the Absence of Fear. I’ve been scared when circumstances justified it. Courage meant recognizing the danger and doing what needed doing anyway. Sometimes it also means admitting you’re wrong when pride is begging you to keep quiet.
  5. Treating People Fairly. Everybody deserves a fair shake, regardless of background or wealth. In police work, hearing someone’s story mattered before reaching conclusions. Respect doesn’t require agreement, and decency doesn’t mean approving of everything somebody does.
  6. The Value of Self-Discipline. Work, exercise, and routine aren’t always exciting. Doing them anyway has served me better than waiting for inspiration. I don’t always feel like starting, but once I’ve done the work I’m generally glad I did.
  7. Keeping Your Emotions in Check. Anger happens. Letting it decide can be expensive. Police work taught me to keep a cool head, and Stoicism helped explain the habit. A moment’s pause between stimulus and response has saved me a few apologies.
  8. Knowing When Enough Is Enough. There’s always another goal or purchase. Chase them all and the finish line keeps moving. I’m more content these days, and I’ve discovered that knowing what’s enough can be more useful than getting more.
  9. Gratitude, Simplicity, and Contentment. Health, family, friends, quiet mornings, and coffee count for plenty. I don’t need much more to make a day worthwhile, although something interesting to think about helps. Simplicity is the ultimate sophistocation.
  10. Becoming a Better Human Being. I don’t expect to become wise and faultless. Learning from mistakes, treating people decently, and trying to exercise better judgment seem like useful daily work. There’s still plenty of room for improvement on my end.

Time, Aging, and Mortality

  1. Where Did All the Years Go? Seventy years sounds long until you look back. Childhood seemed endless when I was waiting to turn sixteen and get my driver’s license. The decades since haven’t shown quite the same patience.
  2. Age Is More Than a Number. My body disputes that age is just a number. The mind still proposes projects without consulting the knees. I’ve accepted a few limitations, but I don’t intend to let the calendar make every decision.
  3. Taking Care of the Machinery. I’ve only one body, so I eat, sleep, and move sensibly. Rucking means walking with a weighted backpack, an activity that sometimes makes me question my own judgment. Still, the machinery seems worth maintaining.
  4. Eat. Move. Rest. Think. Do. This formula of five is the closet thing to a good life prescription as I’ve found. Eat—I try to follow the Mediterranean diet. Move—I ruck n’ rope. Rest—7 to 8 hours unbroken. Think—Cognitive workouts. Do—Having a purpose.
  5. Don’t Put Life on Hold. It’s easy to wait until work settles down. There’s always another reason to wait. Planning ahead matters but spending your whole life getting ready to live would be a pretty disappointing outcome.
  6. The Things That Matter Less With Age. I seldom worry about impressing people or winning pointless arguments—especially politics. Time with people I care about and work I enjoy interests me more. It’s taken a while, but I’m getting better at sorting the two. Also at saying “No” to things that don’t matter.
  7. Time Is the One Thing You Can’t Replace. Money and possessions can be replaced. Yesterday doesn’t offer refunds. I’m more particular now about what deserves my hours, and I’d rather spend them on people and things that matter than on somebody else’s nonsense.
  8. Learning to Let Go. Plans change, people leave, opportunities disappear. I’ve wasted time wishing I could rewrite things that were already done. Letting go isn’t always giving up; sometimes it’s making room for the life still in front of you.
  9. Growing Older Without Growing Old. I’m keeping curious while letting my body vote. There’s no reason to stop learning or trying new things at seventy. I just allow a little more recovery time than I once did.
  10. Making Peace With Mortality. I know the final outcome, but I’m not eager to meet the Grim Reaper. I’ve had a good run and hope there’s plenty left. The best preparation I can think of is to enjoy living while I’m here.

Curiosity, Progress, and What Comes Next

  1. Curiosity Keeps Life Interesting. New questions and rabbit holes keep appearing. Investigations, books, philosophy, and technology have all taken their turns. I can’t imagine being bored when there’s still so much I haven’t figured out.
  2. You’re Never Too Old to Learn. Stoicism and AI made me a beginner again in my late sixties. It’s humbling, sometimes frustrating, and often tremendous fun. Learning may take a little longer now, but I haven’t noticed any shortage of things worth learning.
  3. The Writing Isn’t Finished. Since 2012, I’ve enjoyed turning ideas into DyingWords articles. I’ve got more stories and opinions in me, whether anybody asks for them or not. The keyboard isn’t getting retired just yet.
  4. Discovering Artificial Intelligence. ChatGPT began as my research assistant in 2023. That led to bigger questions about human thinking, machine learning, and what the two might accomplish together. I never expected a bot-tool to send me off on an entirely new adventure.
  5. The Past Has Plenty to Teach Us. Stoics, Ben Franklin, and computer pioneers remind me that ideas have histories. I’ve become more interested in tracing those roots. You might know where you are, but you don’t know where you’re going unless you know where you’ve been.
  6. Learning From Younger Generations. Birthdays don’t confer a monopoly on ideas. Younger people see technology and changing customs differently, and I’ve learned by watching and listening. That’s more rewarding than speaking on why everything was supposedly better in the old days.
  7. Keeping an Open Mind. Evidence has changed some of my strong opinions. That doesn’t mean believing every new claim that comes along. It means holding my convictions firmly enough to examine them and loosely enough to correct them. It also means not judging youths with green or pink hair.
  8. Finding Something Worthwhile to Build. I’ve always liked building with tools or words. Now I’m working on a project that I hope might help other people. It’s called Twenty-Second Century Enlightenment—22ENL for short—and it trains humans to build, command, and govern their personalized artificial intelligence system. It’s a human development and self-improvement program that may succeed or it may not, but getting up with something worthwhile to tackle suits me fine.
  9. Planning for a Future I Can’t Predict. Life’s surprised me too often to script the next decade. I’ll still make plans and pursue what matters, while leaving room for surprises. If someone had described my seventieth year to me at twenty, I’d have laughed.
  10. I’m Still Looking Forward. Seventy isn’t a finish line, and I’m not interested in waiting around for Doctor Death. I’ve experienced good fortune and learned some lessons I’d rather not repeat. I don’t know how many roads remain, but I intend to enjoy the drive.

Dyingwords.net is a node of Centaur Intelligence Systems and Twenty-Second Century Enlightenment – 22ENL.
centaursystems.ai
The Valley, Anguilla